4 Major Investment Themes to Watch in 2026

1 January 2026

Amid persistent geopolitical tensions, accelerating technology, and mounting pressure on resources, the global economic environment enters a new phase. For investors, it is no longer just about following short-term markets, but about identifying the major secular dynamics capable of sustaining growth and corporate valuations over the long term.

In 2026, certain themes stand out clearly. The rearmament of states and the rising security concerns, the widespread adoption of artificial intelligence and the emergence of quantum computing, as well as the battle over strategic resources and critical raw materials, are shaping a world that is more fragmented, yet rich in investment opportunities for those who know how to invest in stocks with a long-term perspective.

Discover Café de la Bourse’s analysis of the 4 investment themes to absolutely follow in 2026, with our analysis of stocks and ETFs to position yourself.

Defence and Security: a Sustainable Global Re-arming

Defense and security remain among the essential investment themes in 2026. After several decades during which these topics were deprioritized, the international context has profoundly changed. The war in Ukraine, persistent tensions in the Middle East, rivalries among great powers, and the proliferation of cyberattacks have brought the issue of security back to the forefront of national priorities.

This evolution is reflected very concretely in a sustained rise in military budgets, especially in Europe, where many countries seek to close gaps and strengthen their defense autonomy. Beyond traditional weapons, investments also concern cybersecurity, surveillance, space, and the protection of critical infrastructure. It is no longer about responding to a crisis, but about a strategic shift expected to endure over time.

For investors, this new reality creates interesting prospects.

What stocks to follow to invest in defense and security on the stock market?

The defense and security sector brings together very different players, ranging from traditional arms to cybersecurity, through space and surveillance technologies.

Here is a selection of the 10 European and American stocks to watch in 2026 to invest in the defense and security theme

Stock Geographic Area Industry Sector Why consider it?
Thales Europe Defense, cybersecurity, surveillance Highly diversified group, heavily exposed to European budgets and to critical technologies (radars, cybersecurity, digital defense)
Airbus Europe Aerospace, space, defense Key player in European space and defense with clear visibility on long-term public orders
Rheinmetall Europe Land defense, weaponry Direct beneficiary of European rearmament, notably in Germany, with strong exposure to military vehicles and munitions
Safran Europe Defense, aerospace, security Positioned on high value-added equipment, engines, navigation systems and air defense
Leonardo Europe Defense, electronics, surveillance Italian group heavily present in defense electronics, helicopters and surveillance systems
Lockheed Martin United States Military defense Global leader in armaments, with major programs and exceptional visibility into government contracts
Northrop Grumman United States Defense, space, surveillance Strong exposure to space defense and advanced systems, a high-growth segment
RTX Corporation United States Defense, missiles, cybersecurity Key player in defense and missile systems, at the heart of American strategic priorities
Palantir Technologies United States Security, data, intelligence Specializes in data analytics for governments and defense, highly exposed to security and intelligence issues
CrowdStrike United States Cybersecurity Pure player in cybersecurity, a theme now essential given the proliferation of cyberattacks

Which ETFs to invest in the defense sector?

For investors who want broader diversification without picking individual stocks, thematic ETFs can be a good solution.

Here is a selection of 5 ETFs to follow in 2026 to invest in the defense sector

ETF Name ISIN Geographic Exposure Main characteristic
L&G Cyber Security UCITS ETF IE00BYPLS672 World Very diversified cybersecurity ETF, exposed to the main global players in information security
BNP Paribas Easy Bloomberg Europe Defense UCITS ETF Acc LU3047998896 Europe ETF dedicated to European defense PEA eligible, offering targeted exposure to groups benefiting directly from European state rearmament
Global X Defence Tech UCITS ETF IE000JCW3DZ3 Europe More technology-focused approach to defense, including cybersecurity, surveillance, drones and advanced military technologies
HANetf Future of Defence UCITS ETF (NATO) IE000OJ5TQP4 World (NATO member countries) ETF focused on companies linked to the defense effort of NATO member countries, with a strong geopolitical dimension
First Trust Nasdaq Cybersecurity UCITS ETF IE00BF16M727 United States Equity exposure largely to U.S. cybersecurity leaders listed on Nasdaq

Artificial Intelligence and Quantum Computing: the ongoing technological revolution

Artificial intelligence and quantum computing are emerging as two major pillars of the ongoing technological transformation. After a phase of sometimes excessive enthusiasm, AI has entered a more concrete era, with its gradual integration into the real economy. Automation of processes, data analysis, industrial optimization, cybersecurity, and healthcare – use cases are multiplying and beginning to generate measurable productivity gains for companies.

In 2026, this rise in power should accelerate, driven by massive investments in digital infrastructure, semiconductors, and data centers. Quantum computing, still at an early stage, represents a longer-term but strategic disruption. It opens the door to unprecedented computing capabilities, capable of transforming key sectors such as pharmaceutical research, finance, logistics, or cryptography.

For the global economy, these technologies represent a major lever of competitiveness and sovereignty. Companies and states that master them will gain a decisive edge, while investors may see them as one of the strongest structural growth engines in the coming years.

Which stocks to watch to invest in AI and quantum computing on the stock market?

Companies positioned in artificial intelligence and quantum computing concentrate a large share of current technology investments and are set to play a key role in tomorrow’s economy.

Here is a selection of the 10 European and American stocks to watch in 2026 to invest in the AI and quantum computing theme

Stock Geographic Area Industry Sector Why consider it?
ASML Europe Semi-conductors, equipment Crucial for AI; their machines are indispensable for manufacturing the most advanced chips
SAP Europe Software, enterprise AI Incorporates AI into management software used by thousands of companies, with strong monetization potential
Siemens Europe Industry, automation, AI AI is at the heart of Industry 4.0; Siemens is ideally positioned for intelligent automation
Dassault Systèmes Europe Software, simulation, AI Benefits from AI for numerical simulation, industrial design and advanced research
STMicroelectronics Europe Semi-conductors Key supplier of components used in AI-enabled devices, automotive and industry
Nvidia United States Semi-conductors, AI Central player in global AI; its chips have become the reference infrastructure for generative AI
Microsoft United States Cloud, AI, software Leader in cloud and AI integrated into everyday usage, with strong scale dissemination capacity
Alphabet (Google) United States AI, cloud, quantum computing Very advanced in AI and a pioneer in quantum computing, with massive long-term investments
IBM United States Quantum computing, AI One of the world’s leading quantum computing players, with concrete applications already under development
AMD United States Semi-conductors, AI A credible alternative to Nvidia for AI chips, with steady rising traction in the market

Which ETFs to invest in AI and quantum computing?

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For investors who want exposure to AI and disruptive technologies without selecting each stock individually, thematic ETFs provide a simple and effective solution. They allow immediate diversification across the entire sector value chain while following major underlying trends. Here is a selection of ETFs dedicated to artificial intelligence to consider for 2026.

Here is a selection of 5 ETFs to follow in 2026 to invest in the AI sector

ETF Name ISIN Geographic Exposure Main characteristic
VanEck Quantum Computing UCITS ETF IE0007Y8Y157 World ETP specifically dedicated to quantum computing, exposed to companies involved in quantum development (hardware, software, patents)
L&G Artificial Intelligence UCITS ETF IE00BK5BCD43 World Targeted exposure to companies developing or using AI, with a software and data-driven approach
Amundi MSCI Robotics & AI UCITS ETF LU1861132840 World Diversified ETF following an AI-focused index, covering both tech giants and specialized players
WisdomTree Artificial Intelligence UCITS ETF IE00BDVPNG13 World Thematic approach more concentrated on companies where AI is at the heart of the business model
 

Global X AI Semiconductor & Quantum UCITS ETF

IE0000ZL1RD2 World ETF specifically dedicated to AI semiconductors and quantum computing, exposed to hardware, software and emerging quantum technologies

Strategic Resources and Critical Raw Materials: the Nerve of the Economic War

Strategic resources and critical raw materials have become a central topic that goes far beyond financial markets. Copper, lithium, uranium, and rare earths are now indispensable across many sectors, from defense to energy, including infrastructure, electrification, and new technologies. Without these raw materials, it would be impossible to produce military equipment, develop electrical grids, or fabricate the technologies that underpin tomorrow’s growth.

Throughout 2026, this dependence is likely to intensify. The energy transition, the rearmament of states, and industrial relocalization are driving a structural increase in demand, while supply remains constrained. Opening a mine takes time, is costly, and often faces environmental or political obstacles.

For investors, strategic resources represent a distinct theme. They offer direct exposure to major economic and geopolitical shifts today, while playing a key role in diversifying a long-term portfolio.

What stocks to follow to invest in strategic resources on the stock market?

The sector of strategic resources and critical raw materials includes many key players positioned at different points in the value chain, from extraction to processing.

Here is a selection of the 10 stocks to follow in 2026 to invest in strategic resources

Stock Geographic Area Industry Sector Why consider it?
Rio Tinto Europe (UK) Minéraux, metals industriels Major player in copper, aluminum and iron, at the heart of electrification and infrastructure needs
Glencore Europe (Switzerland) Metals, strategic resources Very exposed to copper, cobalt and nickel, key metals for energy, defense and batteries
BHP Billiton Europe (UK/Australia) Mining diversified One of the world’s largest mining groups, with strong diversification and exposure to strategic metals
Eramet Europe (France) Manganese, lithium, nickel French group positioned on critical metals, with a key role in European sovereignty
Boliden Europe (Sweden) Industrial metals European specialist in copper and zinc, with an integrated mining and processing approach
Freeport-McMoRan United States Copper One of the world’s leading copper producers, a central metal for energy, AI and electrical infrastructure
Albemarle United States Lithium Major lithium player, directly exposed to battery and energy storage challenges
Cameco Canada / United States Uranium Global benchmark for uranium, at the heart of civil and strategic nuclear revival
MP Materials United States Rare earths Key American producer of rare earths, a strategic issue in light of Chinese dominance
Southern Copper United States / Latin America Copper Very strong exposure to copper, with competitive costs and long-term visibility

Which ETFs to invest in critical raw materials?

For investors who want to go further in diversification, ETFs are a particularly suitable solution. They allow exposure either to companies active in strategic resources or directly to the raw materials themselves, without having to select a specific stock or metal.

Here is a selection of 5 ETFs to follow in 2026 to invest in critical raw materials

ETF Name ISIN Geographic Exposure Main characteristic
Amundi STOXX Europe 600 Basic Resources UCITS ETF LU1834983550 World Exposure to large European resource and metal names via the STOXX Europe 600 Basic Resources index, allowing play of European industrial sovereignty
VanEck Uranium and Nuclear Technologies UCITS ETF IE000M7V94E1 World Targeted exposure to uranium and the nuclear value chain, a strategic theme in full revival
Global X Lithium & Battery Tech UCITS ETF IE00BLCHJN13 World Equity ETF focused on lithium and battery technologies, directly linked to electrification challenges
WisdomTree Strategic Metals and Rare Earths Miners UCITS ETF IE000KHX9DX6 World Focused on strategic metals and rare earths, essential to the energy transition, advanced technologies and batteries, with ESG selection integrated
iShares Diversified Commodity Swap UCITS ETF DE000A0H0728 Commodities diversified Broad exposure to a basket of commodities (energy, industrial metals, agricultural), useful for macro diversification

Public debt, rates, inflation: a new macroeconomic regime

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The question of public debt, interest rates, and inflation has become a central element of the global economic landscape. After years of highly accommodative monetary policies, governments find themselves with historically high debt levels, while central banks must deal with inflation more persistent than before. Even if rates gradually decline, a return to the era of free money seems unlikely.

In 2026, this environment should continue to weigh on investment decisions. Rates persistently higher than before the pandemic are directly influencing asset valuations, the cost of credit, and the trade-offs between equities, bonds, and real assets. Inflation, even if better controlled, remains a parameter to account for in portfolio construction.

For investors, understanding this new macro regime is essential in order to adapt their strategy, preserve capital growth, and better manage long-term risks.

What stocks to follow to gain exposure to public debt and rates on the stock market?

The peculiarity of the public debt and rates theme is that it allows investors to gain exposure to two major complementary asset classes. On one side, equities, particularly banks and financials, which are directly sensitive to rate movements; on the other side, bonds.

Here is a selection of 10 assets to gain exposure to public debt and rates in 2026

Asset Geographic Area Asset Class / Sector Why consider it?
BNP Paribas Europe Stock, Banking Large European bank, well positioned to benefit from a still higher rate environment
Crédit Agricole Europe Stock, Banking Diversified model, exposure to retail and financing activities, sensitive to interest margins
Banco Santander Europe Stock, Banking Strong geographic diversification, helps smooth rate cycles across regions
Allianz Europe Stock, Insurance / Finance Benefits from rising bond yields through insurance and asset management activities
AXA Europe Stock, Insurance Direct exposure to bond markets, with active management of rate portfolios
JPMorgan Chase United States Stock, Banking Global benchmark in the banking sector, highly sensitive to U.S. monetary policy
Bank of America United States Stock, Banking Historically benefits from rate hikes or stabilization phases
US Treasury 10-year United States Government Bond Global benchmark asset, used as a gauge of long rates and macro risk
Bundesbank 10-year Bund Europe Government Bond European safe-haven asset, central in Eurozone rate risk management
OATs françaises (10 ans) France Government Bond France’s long-term benchmark, sensitive to public debt issues and ECB decisions

Which ETFs to invest in debt and inflation?

For investors seeking broader exposure to the debt and rate theme, ETFs allow positioning on both bond markets and the financial sector, especially sensitive to rate movements, while benefiting from immediate geographic diversification.

Here is a selection of 5 ETFs to follow in 2026 to invest in debt and inflation

ETF Name ISIN Geographic Exposure Main characteristic
iShares Core € Govt Bond UCITS ETF IE00B4WXJJ64 Eurozone Benchmark bond ETF, exposed to Eurozone government bonds, useful for tracking European rate movements
Amundi Euro Government Bond 15Y+ UCITS ETF LU1287023268 Eurozone Focused on long sovereign bonds, very sensitive to rate variations and ECB policy
iShares $ Treasury Bond 7–10yr UCITS ETF IE00B1FZS798 United States Exposure to mid-term U.S. government bonds, a key barometer of U.S. rates
Amundi Euro Inflation Expectations 2-10Y UCITS ETF LU1390062245 Eurozone Index-linked to European inflation, designed to protect purchasing power in an inflationary context
iShares MSCI World Financials Sector Advanced UCITS ETF IE00BJ5JP097 World Equity ETF exposed to the global financial sector, banks and insurers, sensitive to rate movements

How to practically invest in these major 2026 themes?

To invest concretely in these major 2026 themes, the simplest approach is to combine direct stocks and ETFs, according to your budget and the time you want to devote.

For buying stocks, the best online brokers now make investing very accessible. Platforms such as eToro, XTB, IG or Trade Republic allow you to buy stocks at low prices or with no commissions on many international markets. The ability to invest via fractional shares is also a real advantage, as it allows you to spread your capital across several companies, even with a modest starting capital, and thus to better diversify your stock portfolio.

ETFs can also be purchased through the neo-brokers mentioned above, but they are also widely available with more traditional brokers such as Bourse Direct, Fortuneo, Interactive Brokers or Freedom24. These stock brokers provide broad access to European and international ETFs, enabling easy adjustment of your allocation to your risk profile, investment horizon, and the themes you want to prioritise in 2026.

Be careful to invest via one of the best eligible PEA accounts if the security qualifies, to take advantage of the tax benefits of this wrapper. Otherwise, pick one of the best stock accounts to benefit from reasonable trading fees, a wide range of assets and tools and services suited to your investor profile.

All of our information is, by nature, generic. It does not take into account your personal situation and in no way constitutes personalized investment recommendations for the execution of transactions and cannot be construed as investment advice, nor as any form of solicitation to buy or sell financial instruments. The reader is solely responsible for using the information provided, and Cafedelabourse.com cannot be held liable. Cafedelabourse.com cannot be held liable for any error, omission, or ill-advised investment.

James Whitmore

James Whitmore

I am a financial journalist specialising in global markets and long-term investment strategies, with a background in economics and corporate finance. My work focuses on translating complex financial data into clear, actionable insights for private investors and professionals. At Wealth Adviser, I contribute in-depth analysis on equities, macroeconomic trends, and portfolio construction.